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Susquehanna River Flooding Could Be Historic

The Conowingo Dam is likely to have 50 gates open Friday.

 

The flooding along the Susquehanna River may become the worst the area has ever seen, forcing more evacuations today in Havre de Grace as the Conowingo Dam warns of opening all 50 of its floodgates.

As of 6 a.m. Friday, the flood stage was at 32.41 feet, which is the third-highest in the dam's history.

The river reached a "major flood stage" at 28.5 feet at 12:30 p.m. Thursday. From 8:30 Thursday morning until 7:15 Thursday evening, the river swelled 5 feet, based upon data from weather.gov.

The worst is expected to hit today, with the river's crest projected to be Saturday morning.

Residents in Port Deposit Thursday were predicting the flood to be the worst in the town's history, surpassing that of June 24, 1972—when the river crested at 36.83 feet.

The next-highest crest was 34.18 feet, when large blocks of ice floated down river on Jan. 20, 1996.

The following are the highest crests in the history of the Conowingo Dam, courtesy weather.gov:

  1. 36.83 feet » June 24, 1972
  2. 34.18 feet » Jan. 20, 1996
  3. 30.92 feet » Sept. 27, 1975
  4. 30.07 feet » Sept. 19, 2004
  5. 28.08 feet » Feb. 16, 1984
  6. 28.06 feet » April 2, 1993
  7. 28.04 feet » March 7, 1979
  8. 27.31 feet » June 29, 2006
  9. 26.70 feet » April 4, 2005
  10. 26.17 feet » March 16, 1986

Three readings from 2011 reached the top-20 in the dam's history:

  • No. 14 — 25.12 feet » April 29, 2011
  • No. 18 — 23.46 feet » April 19, 2011
  • No. 20 — 21.52 feet » March 11, 2011

The river reaches "action stage" at 21.5 feet, "flood stage" at 23.5 feet, "moderate flood stage" at 24.8 feet and "major flood stage" at 28.5 feet.

Patch shot photos and video around the area Thursday, and opened a live chat for citizens, officials and media to share reports in real-time.

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Captain Steve Weisbrod

10:02 am on Saturday, September 10, 2011

A lot of people remember the flooding from hurricane Isabelle in 2003 was a lot higher on the south end of HdG than what we had this week. That really didn't count in these records. I think that is because that flooding was caused by a storm surge coupled with a high lunar tide that came up the bay rather than flood waters coming down the Susquehanna. The end result was the same for those of us who had to clean up the mess left behind ;-)

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Sean Welsh

11:58 am on Saturday, September 10, 2011

Steve - I think you're 100 percent right on that. These historical numbers were compiled from the Conowingo Dam.

John Cole

10:23 am on Saturday, September 10, 2011

I agree, Steve: Isobel waters were much higher in HdG and Port, and there was significantly more damage. This just highlights the fact that the Conowingo Dam is not the only influence.

I believe there was major over reaction to this event, for example: the mandatory evacuations, the removal of patients from the nursing homes, etc.

A tropical storm with a south or south easterly wind will do far more damage, and create higher waters than 50 open dam gates could produce. Even during Agnes the water only just touched the easterly wall of the Citizens Nursing Home.

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Captain Steve Weisbrod

8:56 pm on Sunday, September 11, 2011

Hindsight, John ;-) ....... You have to figure in the following scenario that COULD'VE been faced by the 'decision makers'. Visualize a court-room and an attorney asking the defendant 'decision maker' ... "why did you think, with all of the flood warnings issued, that it was prudent to ignore the safety of [fill in the blank]??..."
I'm glad I wasn't the person who had to decide but it takes a loooong time to safely transport 100+ nursing home residents.
The good news is the 'decision makers' over-reacted....... in hindsight.

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Rebecca Fitzgerald

9:26 pm on Sunday, September 11, 2011

I suspect the "decision makers" also had the worst case scenario in the back of their minds - the potential collapse of an aging dam. It may have been overkill this time, but comforting that these folks had the courage to make tough and "expensive" decisions.

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Biller's Bikes

10:50 pm on Sunday, September 11, 2011

Did people with boats and businesses on the river know Friday morning that the river crested on Friday pre-dawn and the dam was closing gates?

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Rebecca Fitzgerald

9:09 am on Monday, September 12, 2011

We could see that the water wasn't getting any higher. Even by the NWS charts you could see the flooding tapering off. Of course, without any official statements we didn't know if the slow-down was a temporary thing or if the river had crested, since all the reports were still saying the crest was either Friday night or Sat. morning.

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Biller's Bikes

10:02 am on Monday, September 12, 2011

Thanks, Becky. Guess it's water under the bridge, now. Auto sightseeing traffic downtown Friday to see the "cresting" river looked, in the words of one friend, like "Second Friday" in HdG.

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